# York Outer: election prediction

Labour hold, 92% likely. Conservative: 8% chance.

- Region: Yorkshire and The Humber, England
- MP: Luke Charters
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 67%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 35.2% | 45.3% |
| Conservative | 25.1% | 26.9% |
| Reform UK | 18.0% | 11.6% |
| Lib Dem | 10.5% | 10.8% |
| Green | 6.9% | 4.3% |
| Restore Britain | 3.4% | – |
| Independent | 0.9% | 1.1% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/york-outer), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/york-outer.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)