# Ynys Môn: election prediction

Plaid Cymru hold, 96% likely. Conservative: 4% chance.

- Region: Wales, Wales
- MP: Llinos Medi
- 2024 winner: Plaid Cymru, turnout 61.4%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Plaid Cymru | 38.2% | 32.5% |
| Conservative | 22.9% | 30.5% |
| Reform UK | 18.4% | 9.9% |
| Labour | 11.2% | 23.4% |
| Green | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Lib Dem | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Independent | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Restore Britain | 1.3% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/ynys-mon), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/ynys-mon.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)