# Wrexham: election prediction

Reform UK gain from Labour, 64% likely. Labour: 20% chance.

- Region: Wales, Wales
- MP: Andrew Ranger
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 57.5%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Reform UK | 27.2% | 17.1% |
| Labour | 21.6% | 39.2% |
| Conservative | 19.6% | 24.5% |
| Plaid Cymru | 17.2% | 10.2% |
| Green | 6.2% | 3.3% |
| Lib Dem | 3.9% | 4.4% |
| Restore Britain | 2.3% | – |
| Independent | 2.1% | 1.2% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/wrexham), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/wrexham.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)