# Winchester: election prediction

Lib Dem hold, 96% likely. Conservative: 4% chance.

- Region: South East, England
- MP: Danny Chambers
- 2024 winner: Lib Dem, turnout 72.9%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Lib Dem | 40.8% | 52.5% |
| Conservative | 25.0% | 28.2% |
| Reform UK | 14.5% | 8.4% |
| Green | 8.4% | 4.8% |
| Labour | 8.1% | 5.3% |
| Restore Britain | 1.7% | – |
| Independent | 1.5% | 0.8% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/winchester), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/winchester.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)