# Whitehaven and Workington: election prediction

Labour hold, 90% likely. Reform UK: 10% chance.

- Region: North West, England
- MP: Josh MacAlister
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 57.2%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 39.2% | 53.0% |
| Reform UK | 28.8% | 21.2% |
| Conservative | 16.1% | 20.2% |
| Restore Britain | 7.6% | – |
| Green | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Lib Dem | 3.0% | 2.7% |
| Independent | 0.6% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/whitehaven-and-workington), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/whitehaven-and-workington.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)