# Westmorland and Lonsdale: election prediction

Lib Dem hold, >99% likely.

- Region: North West, England
- MP: Tim Farron
- 2024 winner: Lib Dem, turnout 68.8%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Lib Dem | 47.7% | 62.7% |
| Conservative | 20.8% | 19.4% |
| Reform UK | 15.2% | 9.8% |
| Labour | 7.3% | 4.7% |
| Green | 5.6% | 3.0% |
| Restore Britain | 2.5% | – |
| Independent | 0.9% | 0.5% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/westmorland-and-lonsdale), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/westmorland-and-lonsdale.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)