# West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine: election prediction

Conservative hold, 61% likely. SNP: 39% chance.

- Region: Scotland, Scotland
- MP: Andrew Bowie
- 2024 winner: Conservative, turnout 67.1%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Conservative | 30.7% | 35.6% |
| SNP | 28.5% | 28.6% |
| Reform UK | 17.9% | 7.1% |
| Lib Dem | 9.0% | 13.0% |
| Labour | 7.5% | 13.1% |
| Green | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| Restore Britain | 1.9% | – |
| Independent | 1.5% | 0.6% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/west-aberdeenshire-and-kincardine), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/west-aberdeenshire-and-kincardine.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)