# Wells and Mendip Hills: election prediction

Lib Dem hold, 86% likely. Conservative: 11% chance.

- Region: South West, England
- MP: Tessa Munt
- 2024 winner: Lib Dem, turnout 68.5%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Lib Dem | 33.8% | 46.9% |
| Conservative | 23.2% | 24.8% |
| Reform UK | 21.3% | 13.1% |
| Labour | 8.4% | 7.0% |
| Green | 6.5% | 4.1% |
| Restore Britain | 4.5% | – |
| Independent | 2.4% | 4.0% |

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