# Watford: election prediction

Labour hold, 96% likely.

- Region: East of England, England
- MP: Matt Turmaine
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 60.8%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 30.1% | 35.3% |
| Conservative | 19.4% | 24.7% |
| Reform UK | 17.2% | 11.1% |
| Lib Dem | 14.1% | 17.0% |
| Green | 12.5% | 5.5% |
| Independent | 4.9% | 6.4% |
| Restore Britain | 1.9% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/watford), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/watford.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)