# Warwick and Leamington: election prediction

Labour hold, >99% likely.

- Region: West Midlands, England
- MP: Matt Western
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 64.5%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 40.4% | 48.7% |
| Conservative | 18.9% | 23.5% |
| Green | 15.3% | 9.1% |
| Reform UK | 14.9% | 10.5% |
| Lib Dem | 7.0% | 7.9% |
| Restore Britain | 2.0% | – |
| Independent | 1.4% | 0.3% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/warwick-and-leamington), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/warwick-and-leamington.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)