# Warrington North: election prediction

Labour hold, 82% likely. Reform UK: 19% chance.

- Region: North West, England
- MP: Charlotte Nichols
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 56.7%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 36.4% | 46.8% |
| Reform UK | 29.5% | 23.8% |
| Conservative | 13.1% | 16.2% |
| Restore Britain | 7.4% | – |
| Green | 6.6% | 4.7% |
| Lib Dem | 5.4% | 6.8% |
| Independent | 1.6% | 1.6% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/warrington-north), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/warrington-north.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)