# Walsall and Bloxwich: election prediction

Labour hold, 51% likely. Reform UK: 43% chance.

- Region: West Midlands, England
- MP: Valerie Vaz
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 49.6%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 28.0% | 33.6% |
| Reform UK | 27.7% | 19.6% |
| Aftab Nawaz | 13.0% | 20.4% |
| Conservative | 12.9% | 18.0% |
| Green | 10.5% | 6.2% |
| Restore Britain | 5.7% | – |
| Lib Dem | 2.2% | 2.2% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/walsall-and-bloxwich), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/walsall-and-bloxwich.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)