# Wakefield and Rothwell: election prediction

Labour hold, 76% likely. Reform UK: 24% chance.

- Region: Yorkshire and The Humber, England
- MP: Simon Lightwood
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 54.2%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 32.9% | 43.7% |
| Reform UK | 28.1% | 20.7% |
| Conservative | 14.6% | 18.0% |
| Green | 8.1% | 5.9% |
| Restore Britain | 7.7% | – |
| Lib Dem | 6.5% | 8.0% |
| Independent | 2.1% | 3.7% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/wakefield-and-rothwell), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/wakefield-and-rothwell.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)