# Truro and Falmouth: election prediction

Labour hold, 98% likely.

- Region: South West, England
- MP: Jayne Kirkham
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 68.9%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 35.1% | 41.3% |
| Conservative | 20.3% | 25.1% |
| Reform UK | 19.6% | 12.3% |
| Green | 10.7% | 6.9% |
| Lib Dem | 9.2% | 13.0% |
| Restore Britain | 3.9% | – |
| Independent | 1.2% | 1.3% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/truro-and-falmouth), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/truro-and-falmouth.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)