# Torridge and Tavistock: election prediction

Conservative hold, 73% likely. Reform UK: 25% chance.

- Region: South West, England
- MP: Geoffrey Cox
- 2024 winner: Conservative, turnout 68%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Conservative | 29.9% | 31.6% |
| Reform UK | 25.9% | 18.0% |
| Labour | 17.5% | 21.2% |
| Lib Dem | 13.4% | 23.8% |
| Restore Britain | 6.5% | – |
| Green | 6.0% | 4.6% |
| Independent | 0.8% | 0.8% |

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