# Torbay: election prediction

Reform UK gain from Lib Dem, 48% likely. Lib Dem: 36% chance.

- Region: South West, England
- MP: Steve Darling
- 2024 winner: Lib Dem, turnout 60.5%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Reform UK | 29.5% | 18.8% |
| Lib Dem | 27.0% | 41.1% |
| Conservative | 23.7% | 29.5% |
| Restore Britain | 7.6% | – |
| Labour | 7.2% | 7.1% |
| Green | 4.4% | 3.1% |
| Independent | 0.7% | 0.5% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/torbay), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/torbay.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)