# Tonbridge: election prediction

Conservative hold, 97% likely.

- Region: South East, England
- MP: Tom Tugendhat
- 2024 winner: Conservative, turnout 69.1%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Conservative | 34.2% | 40.8% |
| Reform UK | 22.0% | 15.0% |
| Labour | 16.7% | 18.6% |
| Green | 14.1% | 15.1% |
| Lib Dem | 6.6% | 8.4% |
| Restore Britain | 4.0% | – |
| Independent | 2.4% | 2.1% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/tonbridge), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/tonbridge.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)