# Thurrock: election prediction

Labour hold, 50% likely. Reform UK: 50% chance.

- Region: East of England, England
- MP: Jen Craft
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 51.2%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 32.8% | 42.7% |
| Reform UK | 32.6% | 25.5% |
| Conservative | 14.2% | 21.3% |
| Green | 7.8% | 4.3% |
| Restore Britain | 7.2% | – |
| Lib Dem | 3.1% | 3.1% |
| Independent | 2.3% | 3.0% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/thurrock), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/thurrock.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)