# Tewkesbury: election prediction

Conservative gain from Lib Dem, 48% likely. Lib Dem: 45% chance.

- Region: South West, England
- MP: Cameron Thomas
- 2024 winner: Lib Dem, turnout 66.1%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Conservative | 26.9% | 29.8% |
| Lib Dem | 26.1% | 42.7% |
| Reform UK | 21.9% | 12.4% |
| Labour | 10.7% | 8.9% |
| Green | 9.2% | 5.9% |
| Restore Britain | 4.4% | – |
| Independent | 0.8% | 0.4% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/tewkesbury), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/tewkesbury.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)