# Tatton: election prediction

Conservative hold, 84% likely. Labour: 17% chance.

- Region: North West, England
- MP: Esther McVey
- 2024 winner: Conservative, turnout 68.3%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Conservative | 36.4% | 38.4% |
| Labour | 28.8% | 36.3% |
| Reform UK | 15.6% | 11.5% |
| Lib Dem | 8.7% | 8.9% |
| Green | 7.5% | 5.0% |
| Restore Britain | 2.2% | – |
| Independent | 0.7% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/tatton), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/tatton.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)