# Swansea West: election prediction

Reform UK gain from Labour, 45% likely. Labour: 37% chance.

- Region: Wales, Wales
- MP: Torsten Bell
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 48%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Reform UK | 24.5% | 17.5% |
| Labour | 22.8% | 41.4% |
| Plaid Cymru | 19.2% | 11.5% |
| Green | 12.2% | 6.5% |
| Conservative | 8.7% | 9.9% |
| Lib Dem | 8.2% | 12.2% |
| Independent | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Restore Britain | 2.0% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/swansea-west), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/swansea-west.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)