# Sutton and Cheam: election prediction

Lib Dem hold, 61% likely. Conservative: 37% chance.

- Region: London, England
- MP: Luke Taylor
- 2024 winner: Lib Dem, turnout 65.8%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Lib Dem | 29.4% | 36.9% |
| Conservative | 27.0% | 28.9% |
| Reform UK | 18.8% | 12.2% |
| Labour | 16.0% | 17.7% |
| Green | 5.6% | 3.6% |
| Restore Britain | 2.9% | – |
| Independent | 0.4% | 0.7% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/sutton-and-cheam), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/sutton-and-cheam.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)