# Sussex Weald: election prediction

Conservative hold, 85% likely. Reform UK: 14% chance.

- Region: South East, England
- MP: Nus Ghani
- 2024 winner: Conservative, turnout 67.5%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Conservative | 31.6% | 34.1% |
| Reform UK | 25.1% | 18.1% |
| Labour | 14.9% | 16.8% |
| Lib Dem | 12.3% | 20.2% |
| Green | 8.2% | 7.7% |
| Restore Britain | 5.1% | – |
| Independent | 2.8% | 3.2% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/sussex-weald), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/sussex-weald.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)