# Surrey Heath: election prediction

Lib Dem hold, 75% likely. Conservative: 23% chance.

- Region: South East, England
- MP: Al Pinkerton
- 2024 winner: Lib Dem, turnout 66.4%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Lib Dem | 33.6% | 44.8% |
| Conservative | 27.2% | 33.0% |
| Reform UK | 21.6% | 13.1% |
| Labour | 8.2% | 6.6% |
| Green | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Restore Britain | 3.2% | – |
| Independent | 1.1% | 0.2% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/surrey-heath), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/surrey-heath.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)