# Stroud: election prediction

Labour hold, 99% likely.

- Region: South West, England
- MP: Simon Opher
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 70.9%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 37.2% | 46.4% |
| Conservative | 21.0% | 25.7% |
| Reform UK | 18.7% | 11.5% |
| Green | 13.1% | 10.4% |
| Lib Dem | 5.2% | 5.3% |
| Restore Britain | 3.8% | – |
| Independent | 1.0% | 0.8% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/stroud), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/stroud.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)