# Stretford and Urmston: election prediction

Labour hold, >99% likely.

- Region: North West, England
- MP: Andrew Western
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 61.2%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 37.6% | 49.2% |
| Reform UK | 17.0% | 11.9% |
| Green | 15.3% | 9.6% |
| Conservative | 13.3% | 14.1% |
| Independent | 8.4% | 10.4% |
| Lib Dem | 5.7% | 4.8% |
| Restore Britain | 2.8% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/stretford-and-urmston), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/stretford-and-urmston.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)
