# Stratford-on-Avon: election prediction

Lib Dem hold, 65% likely. Conservative: 33% chance.

- Region: West Midlands, England
- MP: Manuela Perteghella
- 2024 winner: Lib Dem, turnout 69.9%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Lib Dem | 32.5% | 44.3% |
| Conservative | 28.7% | 30.8% |
| Reform UK | 21.2% | 14.6% |
| Labour | 8.2% | 7.1% |
| Green | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Restore Britain | 3.6% | – |
| Independent | 1.4% | 0.9% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/stratford-on-avon), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/stratford-on-avon.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)