# Stoke-on-Trent North: election prediction

Reform UK gain from Labour, 58% likely. Labour: 42% chance.

- Region: West Midlands, England
- MP: David Williams
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 51.8%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Reform UK | 32.7% | 24.4% |
| Labour | 31.2% | 40.3% |
| Conservative | 17.4% | 26.3% |
| Restore Britain | 8.8% | – |
| Green | 4.8% | 3.4% |
| Independent | 3.1% | 3.1% |
| Lib Dem | 2.0% | 2.5% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/stoke-on-trent-north), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/stoke-on-trent-north.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)