# Stoke-on-Trent Central: election prediction

Labour hold, 63% likely. Reform UK: 37% chance.

- Region: West Midlands, England
- MP: Gareth Snell
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 47.8%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 32.5% | 42.4% |
| Reform UK | 30.3% | 24.2% |
| Conservative | 11.7% | 17.6% |
| Restore Britain | 8.4% | – |
| Green | 7.6% | 4.8% |
| Independent | 7.2% | 8.1% |
| Lib Dem | 2.3% | 2.8% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/stoke-on-trent-central), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/stoke-on-trent-central.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)