# Stockton West: election prediction

Conservative hold, 88% likely. Labour: 12% chance.

- Region: North East, England
- MP: Matt Vickers
- 2024 winner: Conservative, turnout 67.7%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Conservative | 37.6% | 41.9% |
| Labour | 28.4% | 37.5% |
| Reform UK | 19.8% | 14.0% |
| Green | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| Restore Britain | 3.9% | – |
| Lib Dem | 3.3% | 2.5% |
| Independent | 1.1% | 1.1% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/stockton-west), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/stockton-west.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)