# Stockton North: election prediction

Labour hold, 68% likely. Reform UK: 32% chance.

- Region: North East, England
- MP: Chris McDonald
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 53.2%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 34.8% | 45.8% |
| Reform UK | 31.0% | 24.6% |
| Conservative | 15.7% | 21.5% |
| Restore Britain | 8.6% | – |
| Green | 6.6% | 5.1% |
| Lib Dem | 2.7% | 3.0% |
| Independent | 0.6% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/stockton-north), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/stockton-north.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)