# Stevenage: election prediction

Labour hold, 85% likely. Reform UK: 14% chance.

- Region: East of England, England
- MP: Kevin Bonavia
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 60.2%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 33.9% | 41.4% |
| Reform UK | 26.6% | 17.9% |
| Conservative | 18.6% | 25.9% |
| Green | 8.5% | 6.2% |
| Lib Dem | 6.2% | 8.1% |
| Restore Britain | 5.4% | – |
| Independent | 0.8% | 0.3% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/stevenage), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/stevenage.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)