# Staffordshire Moorlands: election prediction

Conservative hold, 56% likely. Reform UK: 32% chance.

- Region: West Midlands, England
- MP: Karen Bradley
- 2024 winner: Conservative, turnout 62%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Conservative | 30.7% | 35.4% |
| Reform UK | 28.6% | 23.2% |
| Labour | 24.3% | 32.6% |
| Restore Britain | 7.1% | – |
| Green | 5.8% | 5.3% |
| Lib Dem | 2.8% | 3.5% |
| Independent | 0.7% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/staffordshire-moorlands), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/staffordshire-moorlands.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)