# Stafford: election prediction

Labour hold, 84% likely. Reform UK: 10% chance.

- Region: West Midlands, England
- MP: Leigh Ingham
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 65.2%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 33.7% | 40.3% |
| Reform UK | 25.4% | 18.7% |
| Conservative | 23.4% | 30.3% |
| Green | 7.6% | 6.2% |
| Restore Britain | 5.2% | – |
| Lib Dem | 3.3% | 3.6% |
| Independent | 1.4% | 0.9% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/stafford), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/stafford.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)