# St Ives: election prediction

Lib Dem hold, 93% likely. Conservative: 4% chance.

- Region: South West, England
- MP: Andrew George
- 2024 winner: Lib Dem, turnout 68.7%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Lib Dem | 36.4% | 52.0% |
| Reform UK | 22.2% | 13.5% |
| Conservative | 22.1% | 23.4% |
| Labour | 7.4% | 5.8% |
| Green | 5.8% | 3.7% |
| Restore Britain | 4.9% | – |
| Independent | 1.2% | 1.6% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/st-ives), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/st-ives.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)