# St Helens North: election prediction

Labour hold, 93% likely. Reform UK: 7% chance.

- Region: North West, England
- MP: David Baines
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 53.6%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 39.5% | 52.6% |
| Reform UK | 28.0% | 22.5% |
| Conservative | 10.1% | 11.1% |
| Green | 9.5% | 8.6% |
| Restore Britain | 7.8% | – |
| Lib Dem | 4.2% | 4.4% |
| Independent | 1.0% | 0.7% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/st-helens-north), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/st-helens-north.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)