# Spelthorne: election prediction

Conservative hold, 54% likely. Labour: 24% chance.

- Region: South East, England
- MP: Lincoln Jopp
- 2024 winner: Conservative, turnout 62.6%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Conservative | 26.9% | 30.4% |
| Reform UK | 24.6% | 17.9% |
| Labour | 23.4% | 27.0% |
| Lib Dem | 11.5% | 18.9% |
| Green | 7.8% | 5.2% |
| Restore Britain | 4.4% | – |
| Independent | 1.5% | 0.6% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/spelthorne), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/spelthorne.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)