# Southend West and Leigh: election prediction

Labour hold, 57% likely. Reform UK: 32% chance.

- Region: East of England, England
- MP: David Burton-Sampson
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 62.5%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 29.5% | 35.6% |
| Reform UK | 27.5% | 17.6% |
| Conservative | 22.8% | 31.5% |
| Green | 7.8% | 6.9% |
| Restore Britain | 6.0% | – |
| Lib Dem | 5.2% | 6.8% |
| Independent | 1.2% | 1.6% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/southend-west-and-leigh), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/southend-west-and-leigh.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)