# Southend East and Rochford: election prediction

Labour hold, 55% likely. Reform UK: 41% chance.

- Region: East of England, England
- MP: Bayo Alaba
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 56.5%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 29.9% | 38.8% |
| Reform UK | 29.2% | 18.2% |
| Conservative | 19.9% | 28.7% |
| Green | 8.3% | 6.8% |
| Restore Britain | 6.7% | – |
| Lib Dem | 4.5% | 5.7% |
| Independent | 1.4% | 1.8% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/southend-east-and-rochford), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/southend-east-and-rochford.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)