# Southampton Test: election prediction

Labour hold, 99% likely.

- Region: South East, England
- MP: Satvir Kaur
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 54.6%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 36.7% | 44.5% |
| Reform UK | 20.9% | 14.7% |
| Green | 15.4% | 10.0% |
| Conservative | 13.0% | 18.5% |
| Lib Dem | 6.4% | 9.1% |
| Independent | 4.0% | 3.2% |
| Restore Britain | 3.6% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/southampton-test), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/southampton-test.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)