# South West Wiltshire: election prediction

Conservative hold, 69% likely. Reform UK: 20% chance.

- Region: South West, England
- MP: Andrew Murrison
- 2024 winner: Conservative, turnout 63.2%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Conservative | 29.5% | 33.8% |
| Reform UK | 25.1% | 17.0% |
| Labour | 21.8% | 26.8% |
| Lib Dem | 8.7% | 15.6% |
| Green | 7.0% | 4.9% |
| Restore Britain | 6.5% | – |
| Independent | 1.4% | 1.9% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/south-west-wiltshire), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/south-west-wiltshire.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)