# South West Norfolk: election prediction

Reform UK gain from Labour, 88% likely. Labour: 9% chance.

- Region: East of England, England
- MP: Terry Jermy
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 59.3%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Reform UK | 32.0% | 22.5% |
| Labour | 22.3% | 26.7% |
| Conservative | 18.6% | 25.3% |
| Restore Britain | 9.3% | – |
| James Bagge | 8.2% | 15.5% |
| Green | 5.2% | 4.1% |
| Lib Dem | 4.4% | 5.9% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/south-west-norfolk), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/south-west-norfolk.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)