# South West Hertfordshire: election prediction

Conservative hold, 89% likely. Lib Dem: 8% chance.

- Region: East of England, England
- MP: Gagan Mohindra
- 2024 winner: Conservative, turnout 67.3%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Conservative | 30.7% | 34.1% |
| Lib Dem | 19.4% | 24.9% |
| Reform UK | 18.9% | 14.1% |
| Labour | 17.8% | 20.0% |
| Green | 9.0% | 5.2% |
| Restore Britain | 2.7% | – |
| Independent | 1.5% | 1.7% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/south-west-hertfordshire), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/south-west-hertfordshire.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)