# South Shields: election prediction

Labour hold, 78% likely. Reform UK: 22% chance.

- Region: North East, England
- MP: Emma Lewell-Buck
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 53.9%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 33.2% | 41.1% |
| Reform UK | 27.9% | 23.0% |
| Green | 13.8% | 14.8% |
| Conservative | 10.1% | 11.2% |
| Restore Britain | 8.1% | – |
| Lib Dem | 3.6% | 3.8% |
| Independent | 3.3% | 6.2% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/south-shields), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/south-shields.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)