# South Northamptonshire: election prediction

Conservative hold, 83% likely. Labour: 11% chance.

- Region: East Midlands, England
- MP: Sarah Bool
- 2024 winner: Conservative, turnout 68.6%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Conservative | 31.8% | 35.7% |
| Labour | 23.3% | 28.9% |
| Reform UK | 22.2% | 16.7% |
| Green | 8.5% | 5.7% |
| Lib Dem | 6.9% | 9.3% |
| Restore Britain | 4.8% | – |
| Independent | 2.5% | 3.7% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/south-northamptonshire), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/south-northamptonshire.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)