# South Holland and The Deepings: election prediction

Conservative hold, 56% likely. Reform UK: 44% chance.

- Region: East Midlands, England
- MP: John Hayes
- 2024 winner: Conservative, turnout 58.5%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Conservative | 31.5% | 38.0% |
| Reform UK | 30.6% | 23.1% |
| Labour | 15.1% | 19.8% |
| Restore Britain | 8.8% | – |
| Mark Le Sage | 5.6% | 11.0% |
| Green | 5.3% | 3.9% |
| Lib Dem | 3.2% | 4.2% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/south-holland-and-the-deepings), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/south-holland-and-the-deepings.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)