# South East Cornwall: election prediction

Labour hold, 44% likely. Reform UK: 41% chance.

- Region: South West, England
- MP: Anna Gelderd
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 67.8%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Reform UK | 27.7% | 18.9% |
| Labour | 27.5% | 31.8% |
| Conservative | 22.8% | 27.9% |
| Lib Dem | 9.5% | 16.8% |
| Restore Britain | 6.5% | – |
| Green | 5.3% | 4.1% |
| Independent | 0.7% | 0.5% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/south-east-cornwall), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/south-east-cornwall.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)