# South Cotswolds: election prediction

Lib Dem hold, 63% likely. Conservative: 37% chance.

- Region: South West, England
- MP: Roz Savage
- 2024 winner: Lib Dem, turnout 72.7%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Lib Dem | 32.9% | 43.9% |
| Conservative | 30.0% | 34.4% |
| Reform UK | 18.2% | 9.8% |
| Labour | 8.9% | 7.5% |
| Green | 5.7% | 3.0% |
| Restore Britain | 3.1% | – |
| Independent | 1.2% | 1.3% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/south-cotswolds), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/south-cotswolds.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)