# Smethwick: election prediction

Labour hold, 96% likely.

- Region: West Midlands, England
- MP: Gurinder Josan
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 48.2%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 34.3% | 48.0% |
| Reform UK | 21.9% | 16.1% |
| Independent | 13.4% | 12.2% |
| Green | 13.3% | 7.8% |
| Conservative | 10.2% | 12.9% |
| Restore Britain | 4.1% | – |
| Lib Dem | 2.8% | 2.9% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/smethwick), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/smethwick.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)