# Sleaford and North Hykeham: election prediction

Conservative hold, 70% likely. Reform UK: 26% chance.

- Region: East Midlands, England
- MP: Caroline Johnson
- 2024 winner: Conservative, turnout 64.2%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Conservative | 31.3% | 35.7% |
| Reform UK | 27.5% | 21.6% |
| Labour | 20.1% | 26.8% |
| Green | 6.9% | 5.0% |
| Restore Britain | 6.8% | – |
| Lib Dem | 3.8% | 4.7% |
| Independent | 3.5% | 6.2% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/sleaford-and-north-hykeham), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/sleaford-and-north-hykeham.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)